Rainfall has been mostly non-existent except for a few non-measurable light showers in the last 3 weeks. Concern about dry soils has been the lead topic of discussion. This grim sounding concern about soil moisture is understandable, but misplaced. As long as the crop emerges, dry soil is of no concern to the young corn and soybean plant. Small plants have a very low water requirement and will be very content for several weeks yet, providing the seedbed condition is good. A well structured seed bed allows the primary root system to establish and sustain the plant. If the seed bed was too wet when you planted, the primary root system will struggle and the need for rain is greater.
If your tillage practices have left you with no soil moisture and soybeans to plant there is a decision to be made. Soybeans can be planted 2.5 inches deep if that is what it takes to get to good soil moisture. The risk is planting deep into soils that have enough moisture to initiate germination, but not enough moisture to sustain emergence. Soybeans imbibe water, swell and then die under these conditions. Seeding depth in dry soils is an extremely tough call to make. The other choice is to wait because you still have time on your side. Lots of 50 bus soybean yields have been produced with late May planting dates.
The prospects for winter wheat is a mixed bag of extremes and ultimately a tale of two crops. Wheat fields planted following edible beans are good to excellent. One benefit of the dry soil conditions is low annual weed pressure. Annual weeds in the wheat crop have been a no-show for the most part. Wheat is very competitive against weeds and at this point any weed emergence will have zero effect on yield. This only applies to the good wheat fields.
Why is this wheat so poor? Peter Johnson believes it is a lack of cold tolerance. Wheat needs to get past the one to two leaf stage in order to develop the cold tolerance required to survive a hard winter. Kind of odd since you can frost seed wheat and make a crop, but that is a different matter. I believe there is a grain of truth in Peter's assessment, however it is a very fine line.
This field was under 2 ft of snow all winter. I skiied across it numerous times. This cold tolerance or lack of cold tolerance that Peter speaks of is a matter of a few degrees.
Regardless it will be a long summer for these tough looking wheat fields. If you need straw I can understand leaving it. From the cash cropper point of view with the price of straw at 4-5 cents in the windrow there is really only one choice. It is May 13. Plant another crop.